基于乳腺结节超声影像组学及病理特征构建乳腺癌淋巴结转移预测模型
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1.张家口市第一医院 超声医学科;2.张家口市第一医院 乳腺外科;3.河北北方学院附属第一医院放射科

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河北省2021年度医学科学研究课题计划(20210136)


The prediction model of breast cancer lymph node metastasis was constructed based on ultrasonography and pathological features of breast nodules
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    目的:探讨乳腺癌淋巴结转移的危险因素,并构建乳腺癌淋巴结转移的列线图模型。方法:回顾性分析2021年4~2023年8月收治的159例乳腺癌患者的临床病例资料,根据淋巴结转移情况将159例患者分为转移组和非转移组。采用多因素Logistic回归筛选乳腺癌淋巴结转移的危险因素。另通过超声检查收集并提取乳腺癌患者的影像组学特征,采用最小绝对收缩选择算子(LASSO)分析筛选乳腺癌患者的影像组学特征,并计算影像组学得分,采用R语言建立乳腺癌淋巴结转移的列线图预测模型,最后应用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积(AUC)、校准曲线、策曲线分析(DCA)评估模型的区分度、校准度及临床影响力。结果:159例乳腺癌患者中,有66例患者出现了淋巴结转移,淋巴结转移发生率为41.51%;转移组和非转移组的年龄、受教育程度、居住地、糖尿病、肿瘤家族史、病程、肿瘤回声、肿瘤边缘、后方回声、钙化、分子分型、PR、ER等资料对比(P>0.05),而组织分级、肿瘤大小、脉管浸润、肿瘤形状、血流信号分级、HER-2、Ki-67等资料对比(P<0.05);Logistic回归分析显示,组织分级、肿瘤大小、脉管浸润、肿瘤形状、血流信号分级、HER-2均是乳腺癌淋巴结转移发生的独立危险因素(P<0.05);Lasso回归分析后得出4个影像组学特征;以上述因素结果及乳腺结节超声影像组学特征选择结果构建3个预测模型,包括临床模型、乳腺结节超声影像组学、联合模型,AUC值分别为0.822、0.785、0.914;而乳腺癌淋巴结转移的列线图模型的ROC曲线下面积为0.925,校正曲线的实际值和预测值基本一致;决策曲线显示阈值概率是2%~94%时,列线图对乳腺癌淋巴结转移预测的净获益值较高。结论:组织分级、肿瘤大小、脉管浸润、肿瘤形状、血流信号分级、HER-2均是乳腺癌淋巴结转移发生的影响因素,本研究基于乳腺癌结节超声影像组学构建的列线图有助于以医务人员早期识别淋巴结转移高危患者,便于临床尽早决策与实施干预。

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    Objective: To investigate the risk factors of breast cancer lymph node metastasis, and to construct a nomogram model of breast cancer lymph node metastasis. Methods: Clinical data of 159 patients with breast cancer admitted from April 2021 to August 2023 were retrospectively analyzed, and 159 patients were divided into metastatic group and non-metastatic group according to lymph node metastasis. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to screen the risk factors of lymph node metastasis in breast cancer. In addition, ultrasound was used to collect and extract the imaging features of breast cancer patients, and LASSO was used to analyze and screen the imaging features of breast cancer patients, and the imaging scores were calculated. The nomogram prediction model of breast cancer lymph node metastasis was established by using R language. Finally, area under receiver Operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), calibration curve, and policy curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the differentiation, calibration and clinical impact of the model. Results: Among 159 patients with breast cancer, 66 patients had lymph node metastasis, the incidence of lymph node metastasis was 41.51%. Age, education level, place of residence, diabetes mellitus, family history of tumor, course of disease, tumor echo, tumor margin, posterior echo, calcification, molecular typing, PR, ER and other data were compared between metastatic and non-metastatic groups (P>0.05). Tissue grade, tumor size, vascular invasion, tumor shape, blood flow signal grade, HER-2, Ki-67 and other data were compared (P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that tissue grade, tumor size, vascular invasion, tumor shape, blood flow signal grade and HER-2 were independent risk factors for lymph node metastasis of breast cancer (P<0.05). Four imaging features were obtained by Lasso regression analysis. Based on the results of the above factors and the selection results of ultrasound imaging features of breast nodules, three prediction models were constructed, including clinical model, ultrasound imaging of breast nodules and combined model, with AUC values of 0.822, 0.785 and 0.914, respectively. The area under ROC curve of the nomogram model of breast cancer lymph node metastasis was 0.925, and the actual value of the correction curve was basically consistent with the predicted value. When the decision curve showed that the threshold probability was 2% to 94%, the net benefit value of the nomogram was higher for the prediction of breast cancer lymph node metastasis. Conclusion: Tissue grade, tumor size, vascular invasion, tumor shape, blood flow signal grade, and HER-2 are all factors affecting the occurrence of lymph node metastasis in breast cancer. In this study, the nomogram constructed based on ultrasound imaging of breast cancer nodules is helpful for medical personnel to identify high-risk patients with lymph node metastasis in early stage, so as to facilitate early

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陈宇翔,杨晓辉,孙岩,贺松.基于乳腺结节超声影像组学及病理特征构建乳腺癌淋巴结转移预测模型[J].临床超声医学杂志,2025,27(6):

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  • 收稿日期:2024-08-15
  • 最后修改日期:2024-10-24
  • 录用日期:2024-11-06
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-30
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